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2007 AVAC Report Resetting the Clock

Resetting the clock, this year's AVAC Report title, is inspired by the anniversary of US President Bill Clinton's 1997 speech calling for an AIDS vaccine in ten years' time. Many organizations, including AVAC, marked this anniversary, and the expiry of the original deadline, with reflection and tempered optimism on May 18 of this year.

We recognize that the title could just as easily be the punch line of a joke about the AIDS vaccine field. Here at AVAC we frequently hear, and remark, that the timeline for finding an AIDS vaccine has been "5 to 10 years" for, well, 5 to 10 years. It seems that we are always resetting the clock.

Today we argue in all seriousness that it is time to reset the clock. We are within two to three years of data from three test-of-concept studies of AIDS vaccines, including the ongoing Thai prime-boost study and two trials of Merck's adenovirus-based candidate. And so now is the time to set new, ambitious deadlines for developing the novel vaccine concepts and candidates that will be needed whether or not there is evidence of benefit from these first test-of-concept trials.

The three sections of this year's report outline some specific deadlines and challenges in AIDS vaccine scientific strategy, clinical trials, and the broader realm of HIV prevention. These arenas mesh like watch gears, and must function just as smoothly if the field is to proceed.

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Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Letter from the Executive Director
- Figure 1. Global Coverage for Select HIV Prevention Strategies in 2005
- Figure 2. Global HIV Incidence With and Without Comprehensive Prevention Package

Key Recommendations
AVAC's Status Report - An Update on Last Year's Recommendations

Section 1: New Countdowns
In this section we explore progress and barriers in funding and strategy-setting for the field. As we wait for the results from upcoming trials, what else do we need to be doing? What are the responsibilities of key institutions at this critical time? We've addressed these questions and returned to industry for an updated survey of private-sector work. This section also discusses progress and challenges of the Global HIV Vaccine Enterprise.

- Figure 7. Anticipated Data Milestones and Proposed Needs for the Future
- Figure 8. Non-commercial Funding Allocations for Preventive HIV Vaccine R&D by Category in 2000-06
- Table 1. Test-of-Concept Versus Phase III: A Comparison
- Table 3. Industry HIV Vaccine Involvement 2007
- Figure 9. Global HIV Vaccine Enterprise Timeline 2003-07

Section 2: Racing Against Time
In this section we turn to clinical trial issues. Here we argue that the field is already in danger of slipping behind. We mean this in several senses, including anticipating and keeping pace with clinical trial capacity needs, reaching consensus on standards of prevention and levels of care, and solidifying communications strategies for conveying information about trial outcomes. There are also open questions about the new US approach to funding its trial networks. In the spirit of thinking globally and acting locally, we've highlighted specific examples from work around the world as a way of emphasizing issues that affect all prevention research.
- HIV Prevention Roadmap
- Figure 11. Countries with AIDS Vaccine Trials (August 2007)
- Table 4. Trials of New Prevention Options Worldwide
- Table 5. Trials of Preventive HIV/AIDS Vaccine Worldwide (August 2007)
 
Section 3: Wake Up Call
In this section we explore the critical lessons to be learned from responses to data on new approaches which could have some benefit in out-of-control epidemics. The clock is already running when it comes to implementing existing prevention approaches like male and female condoms, as well as emerging prevention strategies like male circumcision. HPV vaccine, while not an HIV prevention tool, is still an important case study. We also listen hard to what advocates from other areas of the AIDS response have to say about prevention research, since collective action is essential for improved prevention overall.
- Figure 12. Coverage of Essential Prevention Services
- Figure 13. HIV Prevention Research: A Comprehensive Timeline of Efficacy Trials

AVAC: Global Advocacy for HIV Prevention
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